cranium

Task 2 - Simulating system response to uncertain climate scenarios

Project Summary

Contacts

Task 1
Uncertainty analysis in climate scenarios for built environment, transport and utilities

Task 2
Simulating system response to uncertain climate scenarios

Task 3
Decision-making under severe uncertainty

Documents and Publications

 

 

 

To what extent will climate change impact upon the performance of infrastructure systems? To answer this question, we need not only to know about the potential change in future climate but also how infrastructure systems will respond to climate change. We are modelling the performance of reservoirs and railway embankments to demonstrate how new statistical methods can be used to investigate the sensitivity of these systems to climate change.

Probability distribution for the location of the slip surface in a theoretical slope