FloodMEMORY is investigating the effects of temporal clustering of flood events on natural, built and socio-economic systems in order to identify critical vulnerabilities, better allocate resources for protection and recovery, and improve flood resilience.
- Floods do not occur at regular intervals – they cluster in time
- The vulnerability of receptors and performance of pathways both have memory
- If repeated shocks occur within the memory period then increased damage may occur
This project seeks to:
- Identify and quantify this underestimated risk
- Increase resilience by pre- and post-event actions
Outcomes
- New combination of climate, “super-statistics” and flood system models, including “memory”, all within a novel continuous/event simulation framework to inform socio-economic analyses
- Information and strategies for dealing with “multiple shocks” which may be “blindspots” in UK flood risk
- “Myth busting” of return periods and non-stationarity: replacement of inadequate conventional analyses for use in a changing climate