Using Observational Evidence and Process Understanding to Improve Predictions of Extreme Rainfall Change
Met Office models show future 1-in-10 year hourly precipitation event intensifications in a drier summer UK climate. New research has just been published in Environmental Research Letters.
CONVEX is a three and a half year project which brings together UK climate modelling, statistical modelling, Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) scientists and the impacts community to work together to improve our understanding of the characteristics extreme rainfall and its underlying causative processes. It will provide a better understanding, essential for improved model projections of extreme rainfall change under global warming.
The project includes researchers from Newcastle, Exeter and Reading Universities and the UK Met Office. Our project partners include: