Dr Christopher Ferro

Research Interests

Assessing the quality of predictions such as weather forecasts or medical diagnoses helps forecasters to improve their predictions and helps consumers to decide how to respond to predictions. My research aims to improve how predictions are assessed. The statistical tools that I develop are applicable to many phenomena but my main interests are in weather forecasting and climate prediction. I am particularly interested in developing ways to answer the following questions.

  • How good are predictions of climate change?
  • How good are predictions of extreme events?
  • How will changing a prediction system affect its quality?