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Sustainable Water: Uncertainty, Risk and Vulnerability in Europe
Problems to be solved
Many attempts have been made to assess the impacts of climate change and variability on crucial hydrologic and hydraulic systems such as those used for flood protection, water supply or urban drainage. Such systems can be extremely vulnerable to predicted climate changes, but two major problems have affected the assessment of their vulnerability, and planning of mitigation or avoidance:
Scientific objectives and approach
SWURVE proposes a two-fold strategy for solving these problems in the context of designing and planning for sustainable water and associated activities in Europe:
A range of representative and different case studies will be used to develop and validate these methodologies. The hydrologic systems to be investigated and assessed include conventional water resource systems, but also related and dependent systems which require further analysis. The studies will define GCM scenarios, rainfall downscaling methods, statistical methods and so on, and allow comparison of results.
Improved and transferable methods of measuring performance of hydrologic and hydraulic systems, and impacts under climate change to allow planning and design for a sustainable future.
Methods will be available to address the problems of incorporating uncertainty into impact assessments, using a probabilistic framework to combine different sources of uncertainty and error. The methods will take full account of natural climate variability, uncertainty in climate predictions and uncertainty in future demand.
Contact SWURVE Coordinator: firstname.lastname@example.org
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Page updated 26 August, 2003